Some Observations on the Manassas City Elections

Manassas City saw some big changes with the elections this year. This is the first election since the City election cycle was moved to November from May to coincide with the general election. This is also the first time the Democratic Party has won a City Council seat in many years. Non-partisan activist groups were prominent players in the various City Council campaigns. In the end, of course, the only poll that matters is the one on Election Day. Based on the data available from the Election Board here is some analysis of yesterday’s results.

Not surprisingly, voter turnout increased almost three times over the last Manassas City only election.

There was a thought that the higher voter turnout would tilt the election to a sweep for the Democrats, but the 8185 Manassas citizens who voted elected both Republicans to the City Council. The Democrats were competitive though. The chart below shows the percentage of voters for each candidate. For example, 64% of the voters cast a vote for Sheryl Bass.

As compared to the registered voters, the numbers show a lot of apathy still.

Of the voters who did exercise their duty, many still did not vote all their available votes.

30% of the votes for City Council were left uncast. There is no way of knowing whether 7273 voters only voted for 2 candidates, 2424 did not vote at all, or there was some other combination. This is a significant number; more votes were uncast, as the graph shows, than any candidate received. This ‘bullet voting’ technique appears to be very popular.

If you have come this far, thanks for reading. Let me know if you find this either interesting or inane. Comments are welcome!

Advertisements
This entry was posted in Elections, Manassas, Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

10 Responses to Some Observations on the Manassas City Elections

  1. Carolyn says:

    Nice to see the numbers in chart form! My guess is that bullet voting occurred on both sides of the aisle. I am certain there were many solid Democrats that could not vote for Bass just as there were solid Republicans that could not vote for a Democrat or a Republican that aligned herself with Democrats. In addition to moving the election from May to November I suspect having two Democrats on the ballot played a roll in higher voter turn out. A voter is more likely to be apathetic if their party isn’t represented in an election.

    Going forward I believe that Aveni and Elston will have lasting support from those that voted for them. Individuals that voted for Aveni have a clear idea of his views and Elston will have solid support form the Democrats who are optimistic to have their party represented. Bass, on the other hand, has a tricky balancing act ahead of her – she has to regain the trust and respect of the Republican’s she lost by aligning with Elston and Richie – Folks and she has to prove to the many Democrats that voted for her that she can work both sides of the aisle. I wish her luck, it is very difficult to be all things to all people and the bipartisan enthusiasm may fade quickly.

  2. Thanks for your comments, Carolyn. I think the next election will be even more interesting.

  3. Robert Bass says:

    I love the charts. Easy to read and easy to explain. Now, let’s see about the future. My wife ONLY aligned herself with the Manassas Republican Party. The citizens of Manassas may put signs where they want, may make shirts that they want. She is NOT aligned with the Manassas Tea Party. She asked no one to bullet vote, she did not have a party away from the Manassas Republic Party and she supported the WHOLE Republican Party. My wife was shown overwhelming support. No worries here!!!

  4. Thanks for the kind comments, Dr. Bass. This is an attempt at some actual journalism, without any partisan slant. Just reporting the facts in an effort to help the reader understand.
    If you think this helpful, please pass it on!

  5. Julie says:

    This shows me that the teachers union in Manassas along with the local democrats aka Manassas Votes clearly have money to burn. The spent it on mailings and negative campaigning against a well-respected Republican and they did not get rid of him. I think we have lost Ms. Bass to the democrats and teachers union. They own her now and will expect at least a “pound of flesh” in higher taxes for school budgets and the arts. She was heartily partying with them at Okras late in the night telling everyone she was the top vote getter.

  6. GMan says:

    Very interesting. Thanks for providing. Please give us more city info like this since local media is worthless.

  7. Steve Thomas says:

    I 2nd the comments made by Dr. Bass. Councilman Elect Sheryl Bass didn’t “align herself with Democrats”. She ran as the nominee of the Manassas Republican Party. If an outside organization has an agenda and wants to endorse a slate, that is on them. I campaigned with both GOP nominees, and they both represented their party well.

    • Robert Bass says:

      Thanks Steve for taking the time to support the City of Manassas Republican Party in campaigning for both Sheryl and Marc. As we all know, they both won!

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s